Political Anticipation: Case study
Anticipation is a necessity to improve decision-making in complex societies: “When driving a small boat, you decide to turn and you turn; when driving a super tanker, you decide that you will have to be turning at that moment (anticipate) and you must start the move now (act).” Franck Biancheri
Political Anticipation is a decision-making tool based on a rational understanding of the future, invented by the now deceased Franck Biancheri (passed away on October 30th, 2012) along his 30 years of European political activity.
Corporate or political leadership in complex societies needs Political Anticipation
The way Franck Biancheri naturally integrated complexity to his mode of thinking, because he was moving in the naturally complex European environment (linguistically, culturally, institutionally, history-wise, etc…) led him to conceptualize the fact that no political action (or any kind of decision-making) was possible in complex systems without anticipation.
Political Anticipation is a decision-making tool
He used to refer to the following image: when driving a small boat, you decide to turn and you turn; when driving a super tanker, you decide that you will have to be turning at that moment (anticipate) and you must start the move now (act). However he also realized that small moves taken long enough before can result in significant achievements 5-10 years later.
Political Anticipation is a pro-active method to envisage the future
The difference between Political Anticipation and prospective studies is that it is active. It’s not only trying to understand what the future is about to bring us, but in what way we can influence our destinies based on a good understand of trends and on a clear vision of one’s goals.
Political Anticipation is a multidisciplinary approach to the future
The future results from the interweaving between trends and actors. Its study therefore requires a multidisciplinary approach taking into account the political, economic, social, financial, cultural, technical,… perspectives.
Political Anticipation is about change management
Political Anticipation is not about the next move but about the movement. It is indeed about change: accepting the fact that change is part of life and must be accompanied, rather than resisted to. Darwinism indeed made it clear that adaptation is the key to species’ survival; this rule goes for social bodies too.
Who makes use of Political Anticipation
Everybody who takes decisions or is involved in decision-making processes. Professional profiles as coaches, consultants, advisors, economists, experts aswell as private persons managing their patrimony.
Topics will include
- Political Anticipation and the Global Systemic Crisis
- Experience of a European think-tank based on Political Anticipation
- Teaching Political Anticipation worldwide through the use of new technologies
- Political Anticipation as decision making tool
- Martina Fried – Project Manager, IRPA – Internationaler Rat für Politische Antizipation
- Marie-Hélène Caillol -- President, LEAP – Laboratoire Européen d’Anticipation Politique
- José María Compagni – President, FEFAP – Fundación para la educación y la formación en Anticipación Política
- Harald Greib – President, IRPA – Internationaler Rat für Politische Antizipation
- Martina Fried -- Project Manager, IRPA – Internationaler Rat für Politische Antizipation
- Further information on the conference is available at http://www.projectanticipation.org
- Presenters should register to attend the conference:
- Early registration (before 1 September 2015): € 150
- Late registration (from 1 September 2015): € 200
- Abstract submission: 15 June 2015
- Final program: 30 June 2015
- Early registration: Before 1 September 2015
- Deadline registration: 20 October 2015
At the page first-international-conference-on-anticipation from the right side you can find links for the registration, a list of accommodations, and instructions about how to reach Trento.