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Anticipation as Deep Driver for a New Paradigm

Paradigm change is driven by circumstances and events shaped in the past. But a deterministic view of history overlooks the immense importance of anticipation as a driver for evolutionary and revolutionary change. Paradigm change actually occurs only when a new vision emerges of the nature of reality -- whether physical, social or intellectual -- which is translated into a new organization of values, ideas, knowledge, or social activity. At the same time, paradigm change is impeded by the inordinate importance accorded to current centers of power, prevailing forms of social organization, vested interests and the momentum of pre-existing conditions. These forces tend to blind us to the very possibility of radical change until after it has already occurred.

This session explores the potential applications of the emerging discipline of Anticipation to advance the research program on social paradigm change conducted over the past three years by the World Academy of Art & Science. It will examine the role of anticipation in framing the movement toward a new paradigm in human development capable of effectively addressing the pressing challenges confronting humanity today. Topics will include

  • The power of ideas to change the world
  • Values of drivers of change
  • The revolution of rising expectations
  • The role of the visionary individual as catalyst for change


  • Garry Jacobs -- Chief Executive Officer, World Academy of Art and Science; Chairman of the Board of Directors, World University Consortium; Editor, Cadmus Journal; Vice President, The Mother’s Service Society, a social science research institute (India).
  • Winston Nagan -- Samuel T. Dell Research Scholar Professor of Law, Levin College of Law (University of Florida); Founding Director, Institute for Human Rights and Peace Development; Chairman of the Board of Trustees, World Academy of Art and Science.

Relevant information


NP1 NEW PARADIGM 1 – Chair: Winston Nagan (University of Florida)

  • JACOBS, Gary (World Academy of Arts and Science), Anticipation as a trans-disciplinary driver of social evolution

  • SAAVEDRA-RIVANO, Neantro (University of Tsukuba), First Elements Towards the Foundations on an Anticipatory Approach in Economics

  • HOEDL, Eric (European Academy of Sciences and Arts), European Union's long-term anticipation studies 2025, 2030, and 2050

  • GAVRANKAPETANOVIĆFaris and Bojan ŠOŠIĆ (Academy of Sciences and Arts of Bosnia and Herzegovina), Are we losing individual leadership potential in the current global trends?

NP2 NEW PARADIGM 2 – Chair: Gary Jacobs (World Academy of Arts and Science)

  • NAGAN, Winston (University of Florida), Anticipation, law, prediction and problem solving

  • ZUCCONI, Alberto (IACP-Istituto dell’Approccio Centrato sulla Persona), The anticipatory value of the person-centered and people-centered approaches

  • KINIGER-PASSIGLI, Donato (ILO), Crisis risk management: anticipating change / counteracting fragility

  • ALVAREZ-PEREIRA, Carlos (Innaxis Foundation), Untying the gridlocks: changing our hermeneutics to bifurcate for good

NP3 NEW PARADIGM 3 – Chair: Alberto Zucconi (IACP-Istituto dell’Approccio Centrato sulla Persona)

  • SKINNER, Angus (FRSA), Linking Capabilities and Strengths: Consilience

  • LASZLO, Andras (GlobalVisioning.net), The Human Being of the Future – Manifesto for an InnerTransmutation

  • THOMSEN, Knud (Paul Scherrer Institut, Switzerland), Anticipation as the central element for the working of individual minds and whole societies

  • FOWLER, Gregory (Portland State University and Geneforum), Public Health Genomics: Anticipating the Future of Global Health Care


The registration is now open: https://webapps.unitn.it/Apply/en/Web/Home/convegni



Project Anticipation

Department of Sociology and Social Research

26, Verdi Street, 38122 Trento (TN) Italy


+39 0461 281403

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